UP making tourney chances

If you use just the adjusted RPI to figure UP's chances of making tourney then I would say we have 50/50 chance of making tourney.

You have the 30 automatic bids from each conference.

Then there are 34 at large berths.

I think those will be:

Atl 10: Lasalle at 36 arpi
ACC: 8 more teams (everyone but Clemson). NC St is the the only one who might be excluded at arpi 46.
Big 12: Ok St, Baylor, and Kansas at 39 in.
Big East: MQ, Lou, ND at 42, and GT at 43 in.
Big Ten: PSU in
Big W: UC_i in
Conf USA: UCF in
Pac 12: UCLA, OSU, and Cal in
SEC: FL, Tenn, Kentucky, AL, and Geogia in
WCC: SCU and SD in.

That leaves a couple of bids left amoung:

SFA 46 RPI 3 losses to an 66, 79 and 83 rpi.
Massechusets: Rpi 47, 5 losses to a 187, 49, 30, 29, and 48 rpi.
UP: 48 RPI 8 losses to 87, 140, 30, 2, 18, 56, 31, 16 and 10.
Richmond: 5 loses to a 132, 260, 12, 4, and 22.
Ohio St Rpi 50 rpi 8 losses to 64, 11, 22, 12, 152, 67, 113, and 57.

I give UP 50/50 chance of getting one of the last bids.

If they do make expect them to play OSU there first weekend when there is one game. Two games second weekend, but OSU would be tough at there place.

We'll see what happens at 1:30 tomorrow.

It looks like the selection show will be online here:

http://www.ncaa.com/live/2011-11-07/div-i-soccer-selection-show

I hesitate to do this, because I don't what to create -- and have -- false expectations, but here are my guesses as to what the Women's Soccer Committee will do for at large selections. I based this on my interpretation of the applicable criteria (some of my interpretations may be wrong), on my judgments as to where the teams fit under some of the criteria that call for subjective judgments, and a fairly rigid process I use. At this point I have to confess that I don't have a lot of confidence in what I've come up with, but what the heck, I'll go for it.

I've included my/nc-soccer's unofficial ARPI rankings for the teams (our rankings match).

At large selections requiring no bubble decisions:

Duke (1)
Wake Forest (3)
Virginia (4)
Oklahoma State (7)
Florida 8
UCLA (9)
Pepperdine (10)
North Carolina (12)
Penn State (14)
Baylor (15)
Boston College (16)
Santa Clara (18)
UC Irvine (21)
Marquette (23)
Tennessee (24)
Kentucky (25)
Maryland (26)
UCF (27)
Miami FL (28)
Virginia Tech (30)
LSU (33)
South Carolina (35)
La Salle (36)
Oregon State (37)
Louisville (38)
Kansas (39)

Bubble teams selected (in order selected):

Alabama (41)
North Carolina State (45)
California (40)
Portland (48)
Notre Dame (42)
Georgia (44)
Georgetown (43)
BYU (55)

Bubble teams not selected (in order of "next in line"):

Ohio State (50)
Washington State (52)
Texas (51)
Massachusetts (47)
Richmond (49)
Central Michigan (53)
Stephen F Austin (46)

well, we are only a couple minutes away...

hthttp://www.ncaa.com/sports/soccer-women/d1

the show is listed as a story choice

CONGRATULATIONS!!!!!!! Here we come, OSU!!!!

GO PILOTS!!

Depending on the day and time, I will have to travel on down to Corvallis.

EDIT: I got a little excited and didn't see that we would be playing them in Florida. Nevermind on the trip, but good job to the ladies!

Congratulations to the Pilots! A nice bonus after a tough year. The value of playing that rigorous non-conference schedule paid off...and things are coming together for them somewhat as witnessed Friday.

http://www.ncaa.com/interactive-bracket/soccer-women/d1/2011

or the printable version:

http://www.ncaa.com/sites/default/files/external/gametool/brackets/soccer-women_d1_2011.pdf

Villa Drum Squad will be making an appearance...

...sounds like a correction in the Oregonian is in order.

RipCityPilot wrote:Depending on the day and time, I will have to travel on down to Corvallis.

EDIT: I got a little excited and didn't see that we would be playing them in Florida. Nevermind on the trip, but good job to the ladies!

There's only one game the first weekend, and it indeed will be in Corvallis, Friday night at 7:00 pm. We called the OSU ticket office about half an hour ago, and they did not yet know they were hosting a game.

Busy weekend for Pilots sports junkies in the NW:
Friday @ 6pm Women’s Basketball against Montana State at the Chiles Center
Friday @ 7pm Men’s Soccer against USF at Merlo Field
Friday @ 7pm Women’s Soccer against OSU in Corvallis
Saturday @ 1130am Men’s Basketball against Florida International at UW
Sunday @ 1pm Men’s Soccer against Santa Clara at Merlo Field
Sunday @ 2pm Women’s Basketball against UC Irvine at the Chiles Center
Sunday @ 2:30pm Men’s Basketball against Georgia State at UW
Monday @ 7pm Men’s Basketball at UW (Root TV)

Let’s see who can attend the most games in four days – I plan to see 4.5 of them!

bluffMAGIC wrote:Villa Drum Squad will be making an appearance...

Playoff away day lads, I know you'll be up for it. Time to show the Beavers what a real firm is. Wear your best trainers and track suits. I have adidas store passes if you need to get yourselves sorted.