WCC Results

There are still a lot of variables, but if both UP and GU beat SCU, the best they could finish the season would be 8-6. If we beat SCU, USF & USD, the worst we would be is 8-6 (9-5 if we beat SMC). If we end up tied with SCU, it comes down to tiebreakers, and here is where we NEED the Gaels to claim the #1 seed. We own the tie breaker with SCU if SMC is the #1 seed, as we beat the #1 seed once (or possibly twice), and SCU was swept by #1. If Gonzaga ends up the #1 seed, SCU would own the tiebreaker, as they beat the #1 seed once, and we were swept.

Bottom line: Go Pilots, Go Gaels (except when we play them), and Go Zags (and Pepp and LMU) over SCU.

(Now it is still possible that we could also leap over USF for the #3 spot, based on the same type of tiebreaker if USF goes 1-3 in their final games... it should be noted that both SCU and USF still have to play @GU, @UP, and home vs. Pepp & LMU.)

Clear as mud?

PilotNut wrote: and Go Zags

I can only imagine how wrong it felt to type this...

We are pretty much locked into 5th or 6th place. We cannot pass USF or GU; they are 3 up with 3 to play and they swept us. SCU is one up until Saturday. After Saturday they have home games with LMU and Pepperdine, where they'll be favored. So I expect them to get 4th place even if we beat them because we have to play at a wounded SMC.

Pepperdine has two games left, at USF and SCU. They will be underdogs in both games. So we will most likely end up with the 5th seed, playing the 8th seed. IF we win that game, we'd play the 4th seed (SCU). IF we win that game, we'd play the 1st seed (SMC?).

Still some possibility on the table, but we have pretty much given away most of our chances with woulda/coulda/shoulda games.

up7587 wrote:but we have pretty much given away most of our chances with woulda/coulda/shoulda games.

Sad, but true.

dholcombe wrote:St. Mary's still has a chance for an at large. They have an RPI in the high 30's and their remaining games are against Utah St (25)., Gonzaga(69), and us(83) all of whom have sub 100 RPI's. If St. Mary's wins out their RPI should improve and they will be a solid bubble team so long as they only lose in the WCC tournament championship game.

The Utah St. game is an opportunity to get a win against another team that is likely to get an at large and show the San Diego game was a fluke.

So SMC lost to Utah St by 10 points. That probably clinches the conference as a one-bid league.

LMU also lost to Portland St. For a team that was projected to challenge for the title, they have crashed.

Three of the four league games tonight went to overtime! LMU lost in double OT (again), SMC lost to GU, and USF hung on by one point against Pepperdine. Makes the Pilots' 4 point win in San Diego look like a blowout!